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Holiday Movie Season: December 26 Pales in Comparison to Boffo Christmas Day

Eleven days into the three-week holiday movie season, 2012 is now 9.5% behind the average for the same period over the last several years ($316 million this year versus $349 million on average 2004-2011).  Further, 2012 is 13....
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Studio Estimates 3.27-29.2015

Based on Friday’s and Saturday’s grosses, weekend #13 of 2015 now looks like $146 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, above the norms for this weekend. Opening at 3,708 theaters Friday, Home from Fox and D...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Holiday Movie Season: Dec 27 Update

Twelve days into the three-week holiday movie season, 2012 is now 9.0% behind the average for the same period over the last several years ($362 million this year versus $398 million on average 2004-2011).  Further, 2012 is 12....
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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ShowBuzzDaily SUMMER MOVIE DRAFT Update

With the only two movies that have opened so far in the ShowBuzzDaily Summer Movie Draft, Team Metcalf has expanded the early lead to $402.8 million.  Dark Shadows (the #17 pick overall) opened this past weekend with an okay...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS August 24-26: Crappy Films Mark the Beginning of the 7-Week Box Office Drought

Weekend #34 of 2012 looks like a typically bad fourth weekend of August.  Three shitty new films open and a political documentary goes semi-wide, and each should be well under $10 million for the weekend.  The top 12 films th...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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2012 Summer Movie Draft: The Race Is On

And the race begins.  Team Metcalf is off to an early lead in the second annual ShowBuzzDaily Summer Movie Draft, thanks to a big head start from Marvel’s The Avengers (Metcalf’s top pick and the #2 pick overall).�...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY MAY 24 BOX OFFICE REPORT

Based on Friday’s grosses, Weekend #21 of 2013 looks like an outstanding $256 million for the top 12 films, 50-75% above the comparable weekend the past few years.  A fairly deep bench of films is currently playing, alth...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Holiday Box Office Volume: through December 23

Since December 16, the top 10 films at the North American box office have totaled $222 million, now slightly below the 2013 pace for December 16-23 (-1.7%) but still slightly above the average (+3.6%) for this eight-day period ...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Holiday Movie Season: Dec 28 Update — Settling Into a Familiar Pattern

Friday’s $52.1 million for the top 10 films is very close to the pace for the same day in 2007 (when December 28 was also a Friday). In fact, over the past three days, 2012 is performing almost identically to 2007.  The ...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY OCTOBER 26 BOX OFFICE RESULTS

The winning streak is over after four straight up weekends.  Weekend #43 will just about match the multi-year average for this weekend and actually under-perform the same weekend last year.  None of the openers this weekend w...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Holiday Movie Season: Steadily Catching Up to the Season Average

Saturday’s $57.4 million for the top 10 films and Sunday’s estimated $49.6 million both slightly exceed the similar days in 2007 (when December 30 was also a Sunday). Partly because of the way the calendar is config...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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ShowBuzzDaily SUMMER MOVIE DRAFT Update

The second annual ShowBuzzDaily Summer Movie Draft still looks like a runaway for Team Metcalf ($518.9 million total through Sunday versus about $25 million each for Teams Salem and Weil), but the early lead is really a functio...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Box Office Predictions MARCH 7-9

Weekend #10 of 2014 is looking like $127 million for the top 12 films, right in line with the same weekend the last few years.  Opening at around 3,400 theaters Friday (well above the 2,886 average theater count for opening we...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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ShowbuzzDaily SUMMER MOVIE DRAFT: Final Update

With Labor Day in the rear view mirror, it is time to proclaim the final standings in the second annual ShowbuzzDaily Summer Movie Draft: #1 Team Metcalf ($1.357 billion currently, probably ending at $1.360 billion) #2 Team Wei...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY JANUARY 11 BOX OFFICE REPORT

Based on Friday’s grosses, Weekend #2 of 2013 is on pace for $124 million, identical to last weekend and up slightly from the same weekend the last few years.  The three wide-release films this weekend performed pretty m...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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