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WEEKEND STUDIO ESTIMATES: July 15-17

>Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 opened with a record  $168.6 million and is on a phenominal track.  Winnie the Pooh is a very quiet opener in contrast.  This weekend is up a stunning 4...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND STUDIO ESTIMATES JUNE 17-19

>Green Lantern stumbled on Saturday and the opening weekend now looks like $52.7 million.  Overall, the weekend is down 24% from last year.    The ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Final estimates now show that Green Lanter...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY NOVEMBER 29 Box Office Report

Based on Friday’s grosses, Weekend #48 of 2013 looks like $194 million for the top 12 films from Friday-Sunday — 3% below last year’s Thanksgiving weekend but 11% above the four-year average for Thanksgiving w...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY JUNE 28 Box Office Report

Based on Friday’s grosses, Weekend #26 of 2013 looks like an okay $181 million for the top 12 films, even with or slightly down from the same weekend in recent years.  Not a bad weekend at all, just not the blistering pa...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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INTERNATIONAL BOX OFFICE NUMBERS through November 6

>Surging to the top of the worldwide box office chart, The Adventures of Tintin from Steven Speilberg has racked up $125 million overseas in two weeks.  The animated film (with the unorthodox but highly successful pattern ...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY OCTOBER 7 BOX OFFICE RESULTS

> Real Steel is opening at forecast — at a very decent level, but will it be enough to cover the big visual effects costs and all the above-the-line talent expenses?  More on that in Box Office Footnotes.  In se...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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International Box Office through August 4

Updated international box office chart:
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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A SHOWBUZZDAILY Guide to Movie Profitability (Or Not) – Part I: Budget

  Let’s start with something simple:  anyone who claims to have reliable knowledge about the profitability of a specific film, without having detailed access to its production budgets, financing documents and key ta...
by Mitch Salem
 
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FRIDAY JULY 25 Box Office Report

Based on Friday’s grosses, weekend #30 of 2014 looks like $137 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, better than our forecast earlier this week ($128 million) but still -8% below the norm for this weekend. Opening a...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY JUNE 10 BOX OFFICE RESULTS: Super 8 Opens Better Than Expected

>Super 8 beats the forecast with a solid opening.  The weekend top 12 are looking to be down a bit from 2010.Super 8 opened with $13.2 million on Friday, and it looks like the JJ Abrams film will gross almost $41 million f...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Box Office Predictions JULY 25-27

Weekend #30 of 2014 is looking like $128 million for the top 12 films this weekend, -13% below the norm for this weekend.  Not a disaster like the previous three weekends (-27% to -34%), but the sixth down weekend in a row.  ...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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INTERNATIONAL BOX OFFICE NUMBERS through JULY 10

> The overseas gross for Transformers: Dark of the Moon has now reached the level of the forecast total domestic gross (as measured by the ShowBuzzDaily Domestic Final estimate).  The overseas number will continue to grow,...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Box Office Predictions 11.7-9.2014

Weekend #45 of 2014 is looking like $167 million for the top 12 films this weekend, up 19% from the norm for this weekend.   Opening at 3,500 theaters Friday (well above the 2,886 average theater count for opening weekends the...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY NOVEMBER 18 BOX OFFICE RESULTS

>Twilight’s latest, Breaking Dawn Part 1, is opening close to what we expected, but Happy Feet Two was not as able to weather the storm as strongly as we projected.  Overall, the weekend is running 20% ahead of the s...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FULL WEEK BOX OFFICE ACTUALS MAY 23-29

> The past week (seven days ending Sunday) came in up 48% versus last year’s comparable week.  Year-to-date box office is now down 9% versus last year (an improvement of three percentage points from last week).  ...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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