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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS JUNE 24-26 — UPDATE

> Reviews have been coming in progressively worse for Cars 2, dropping from 50% positive at RottenTomatoes to 37% as of Friday morning.  In line with this trend is Mitch Salem’s review of the film.  The words &#...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY AUGUST 19 BOX OFFICE RESULTS

>The Help sits at the top of the heap thanks to a terrific 19% drop in its second weekend and especially thanks to the very weak crop of openers that make up that heap.  Spy Kids 4, Conan the Barbarian and Fright Night all...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND STUDIO ESTIMATES MAY 6-8: Thor and Fast Five Carry the Weekend

>Thor opens solidly but not enough to push the weekend past Iron Man 2’s torrid pace last year. The ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Final estimates now show that Thor should finish its run with $190 million, while Fast Five has be...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND STUDIO ESTIMATES: July 15-17

>Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 opened with a record  $168.6 million and is on a phenominal track.  Winnie the Pooh is a very quiet opener in contrast.  This weekend is up a stunning 4...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND STUDIO ESTIMATES September 9-11

>Based on Friday and Saturday box office (and estimated Sunday numbers), Contagion is #1 and is headed for a final of about $74 million.  The other openers were either quiet or stillborn.  The Help, now #2, nonetheles...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKDAY BOX OFFICE UPDATE MAY 23-24: Pirates on Mediocre Track

> Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides fell short of the magic number for early weekday box office (Monday-Tuesday combined), suggesting lower than average long-term playability. During its first Monday-Tuesday in releas...
by Mitch Salem
 
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FULL WEEK BOX OFFICE ACTUALS & YEAR TO DATE Sep 30-Oct 2

>The past week (seven days ending Sunday) is up 11% versus last year’s comparable week, thanks to solid continued business for Dolphin Tale, Moneyball and The Lion King in 3D.  Year-to-date box office ...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS JULY 1-3

> This weekend will be dominated not surprisingly by the third Transformers film, while two romantic comedies will try to get off the ground.  Overall, the weekend is looking like it will be up over last year. Opening at 4...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND PREDICTIONS: Box Office is Alive After All

>Two strong films open Friday, with Rio and Scream 4 poised to fuel the weekend to a strongly positive uptick from the same weekend last year. After weeks of disappointing box office returns, two films are set to open this week...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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ShowBuzzDaily SUMMER MOVIE DRAFT: July 11 Update

>Team Metcalf is now $102 million ahead of Team Salem in the first annual Summer Movie Draft.  The weekday business of Transformers 3 the next few days will push the margin a little higher, but the opening weekend of the f...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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INTERNATIONAL BOX OFFICE NUMBERS September 25

>New this week on the Worldwide Box Office Chart: The Smurfs crosses the $500 million worldwide mark (though it is unlikely to catch the next film above it, Cars 2 at $550 million); Rise of the Planet of the Apes continues to s...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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THE SKED: The Cable Ratings World

>From time to time, we will check in with the cable networks to see what programs are resonating with the audience.  HBO’s True Blood and History’s Pawn Stars would be considered summer hits on any network.&nbs...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FULL WEEK BOX OFFICE ACTUALS & YEAR TO DATE Sep 5-11

> The past week (seven days ending Sunday) is up 4% versus last year’s comparable week.  Year-to-date box office is now down 3.9% versus last year.  Contagion opened in first place and is headed f...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY MAY 13 BOX OFFICE RESULTS: Bridesmaids Above Forecast But Weekend Is Down

>Thor remains at #1, while Bridesmaids opens above and Priest opens below expectations.  Fast Five sneaks into third place.  The weekend looks to be down 14% versus last year. Bridesmaids should open with $21.5 millio...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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The Box Office Impact of Long Weekends

> Holiday weekends present a unique opportunity for increases in box office as normal working and leisure schedules are disrupted.  The most common weekend format changes come in the form of four-day weekends.  A perf...
by Mitch Salem
 
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