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Weekend Box Office Predictions 3.6-8.2015

Weekend #10 of 2015 is looking like $93 million for the top 12 films this weekend, significantly below the normal volume for this weekend (see track below). Opening at around 3,000 theaters Friday (slightly above the 2,886 aver...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Box Office Predictions 5.15-17.2015

Weekend #20 of 2015 is looking like $157 million for the top 12 films this weekend, very close to the norm for this weekend. Opening at around 3,400 theaters Friday (above the 2,886 average theater count for opening weekends t...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Box Office Predictions 7.31-8.2.2015

Weekend #31 of 2015 is looking like $150 million for the top 12 films this weekend, fairly close to the norm for this weekend (see comparisons below). Mission:Impossible – Rogue Nation from Paramount should open with a...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Box Office Predictions 11.6-8.2015

Weekend #45 of 2015 is looking like a solid $165 million for the top 12 films this weekend, up somewhat from the norm for this weekend (see comparisons below). Spectre from Sony should open with a $85.5 million weekend. T...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Box Office Predictions 7.8-10.2016

Weekend #28 of 2016 forecasts for films opening wide and major returning films: NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND July 8-10, 2016 Critics Positive ($ millions) Opening Weekend Forecast Domestic Total Projection Overseas Total Projection W...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FULL WEEK BOX OFFICE ACTUALS MAY 16-22: Up Week Versus Last Year

> The past week came in up 10% versus last year’s comparable week.  Year-to-date box office is now down 12% versus last year.    The Past Week: Total Box Office Volume All films in wide release playing betw...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY JULY 29 BOX OFFICE RESULTS

>Holy Smurfs!  The Smurfs will exceed their estimate and Cowboys & Aliens is falling short of its prediction enough to put the two films on a course for a photo-finish at the end of the weekend.  Both films l...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND STUDIO ESTIMATES September 30-October 2

> Based on Friday and Saturday box office (and estimated Sunday numbers), Dolphin Tale (in its second week) moves into the #1 spot.  Look out for a boatload of TV commercials trumpeting this feat to keep the momentum going...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY DECEMBER 2 BOX OFFICE RESULTS

>This weekend is looking even weaker than expected.  The top 12 films should total only $73 million, down 7% from the same weekend last year. Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 remains in the top spot, a little better tha...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS February 17-19

>The seventh weekend of the year should generate about $142 million for the top 12 films — up 9% from last year’s comparable weekend and up over 20% from the four-year average for this weekend.  Nicolas Cage sh...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS April 20-22

>Weekend #16 of 2012 looks like it will be about $105 million for the top 12 films, down 14% from last year’s comparable weekend (led by Rio’s second weekend) but up 6% from the four-year average for this weekend.&n...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND STUDIO ESTIMATES August 31-September 2

Like last week, Saturday was somewhat stronger than anticipated yesterday — the weekend now looks like $84 million instead of $81 million for the top 12 films.   The Possession and Lawless both look like they will be abo...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS September 28-30

Last weekend we said domestic box office would get back on track, and it turned out to be another very weak weekend (the third weekend in a row down around 20%).  We are going out on a limb again this week, forecasting an okay...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS December 21-23

The weekend before Christmas offers four wide releases and another fairly-wide release.  What a collection of underperformers.  The weekend should total a very uninspired $112 million for the top 12 films.  The 51st weekend ...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND STUDIO ESTIMATES March 1-3

Based on Saturday’s grosses, Weekend #9 of 2013 is a little better than it appeared yesterday but still down 38% from the same weekend the last few years.  Jack the Giant Slayer opened reasonably well, but there are no o...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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