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FULL WEEK BOX OFFICE ACTUALS and YEAR TO DATE June 18-24 — What a Shaky First Half of Summer

Posted June 25, 2012 by Mitch Metcalf

The domestic box office was down again this week, making five out of the past six weeks down significantly from prior years.  We took a look at how the past six weeks collectively stack up to prior years — mid-May through late-June 2012 is almost a 10-year low. The Past Week: Total Box Office Volume […]

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ShowBuzzDaily SUMMER MOVIE DRAFT — June 24 Update

Posted June 25, 2012 by Mitch Metcalf

Team Salem’s top pick (Pixar’s Brave) opened this weekend, helping increase the slate to $290 million, up almost $97 million from last week.  Meanwhile, continued strong business from Madagascar 3 and a few others pushed Team Metcalf’s almost-fully-release slate up a similar amount over the last week (up $95 million) to $1.17 billion.   Abraham Lincoln: Vampire Hunter pushed […]

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INTERNATIONAL BOX OFFICE NUMBERS through June 24

Posted June 24, 2012 by Mitch Metcalf

Pixar’s Brave has a modest $13.5 million overseas to date, obviously with a big international potential as it rolls out around the world.  Pixar films generally have a healthy multiple over the domestic gross, which we are projecting to be $219 million based on the opening weekend.  An overseas target of $320 million seems reasonable […]

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SHOWBUZZDAILY WEEKEND BOXOFFICE SCORECARD – 6/24/12

Posted June 24, 2012 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  BRAVE (Pixar/Disney) opened right in the Pixar range at $66.7M.  That’s better than WALL-E ($63.1M), not quite as good as Up ($68.1M).  Those 2 movies ended up with $224M and $293M, respectively, so the magnitude of Brave‘s success has yet to be determined.  The film is in only 10 overseas territories, where it grossed $13.5M for […]

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WEEKEND STUDIO ESTIMATES June 22-24 — Animation Rules

Posted June 24, 2012 by Mitch Metcalf

The weekend continues to look very similar to the way it did yesterday morning.  Brave now looks like a $66.7 million opening weekend, according to the studio estimate this morning (exceeding our forecast in Wednesday’s ShowbuzzDaily Weekend Predictions).  Animation takes the second spot this weekend, with Madagascar 3 on track for over $20 million, a […]

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FRIDAY JUNE 22 BOX OFFICE RESULTS

Posted June 23, 2012 by Mitch Metcalf

Not the disaster we expected, the 25th weekend of 2012 is looking like $158 million for the Top 12 films Friday-Sunday, down 7% from this weekend last year and down 10% from a more normal third weekend in June.  Brave is on track to open solidly (about $7 million more than forecast for the weekend), […]

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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS June 22-24 — Brave the Only Game in Town

Posted June 20, 2012 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #25 of 2012 looks like another disappointment: a soft $150 million for the top 12 films, down 12% from last year’s comparable weekend and down 14% from the four-year average for the weekend.  Pixar’s Brave should open well, but the other two openers will struggle to find any audience and there certainly won’t be […]

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FULL WEEK BOX OFFICE ACTUALS and YEAR TO DATE June 11-17 — Summer Volatility Continues

Posted June 18, 2012 by Mitch Metcalf

The domestic box office was back down this week.  Volatility has been the operative word recently.  The first two weeks of May (April 30-May 13) were up more than 35% each from prior years, followed by the next three weeks (May 14-June 3) which were down around 15% each week.  Then last week was up […]

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