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Weekend Box Office Predictions July 5-7

The 27th weekend of the year is looking like an excellent $218 million for the top 12 films, up 20-35% from the comparable weekend the last few years. Opening at around 3,900 theaters Wednesday (well above the top 10% thea...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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US/Worldwide Weekend Box Office Report – 12.20.2020

  OPENINGS:  Sony is one of the last remaining studios to honor the full conventional theatrical distribution window, so MONSTER HUNTER (Screen Gems/Sony) will have roughly 3 months to sell tickets before it’s avail...
by Mitch Salem
 
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Weekend Box Office Predictions OCTOBER 11-13

The 41st weekend of the year is looking like a fairly soft $106 million for the top 12 films, down 13% from this weekend last year but down a more moderate 5% from the multi-year average for this weekend. Opening at over 3,000 ...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Behind the US/Worldwide Weekend Box Office – 6.26.2022

  OPENINGS:  ELVIS (Warners) opened at the higher end of low expectations with $30.5M.  That technically put it into a dead heat with Top Gun: Maverick for the weekend crown, although that’s misleading because like...
by Mitch Salem
 
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WEEKEND STUDIO ESTIMATES September 14-16

The weekend now looks like $70 million for the top 12 films, just a shade lower than the estimate yesterday.  The rank order remains the same, with Resident Evil: Retribution opening at #1 ahead of Finding Nemo 3D (although Ne...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Behind the US/Worldwide Weekend Box Office – 5.2.2022

  OPENINGS:  With the latest MCU extravaganza waiting in the wings, Hollywood studios kept their wares out of the market, and the only arrival was the latest Liam Neeson vehicle (incredibly, he’s had 6 films in rele...
by Mitch Salem
 
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Year to Date Box Office & Worldwide Studio 4.10.2016

WORLDWIDE STUDIO SCORECARD.  Updated look at 2016 by studio.   YEAR TO DATE BOX OFFICE. Looking at North American box office, 2016 to date is now +3% above last year and now +8% above the average for this point the past f...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND STUDIO ESTIMATES March 22-24 — Updated

Based on Saturday’s grosses, Weekend #12 of 2013 is another down weekend (making it 10 down weekends out of 12 this year so far): $130 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday (down 9% from an average comparable weekend...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Year to Date Box Office & Worldwide Studio Scorecard 4.30.2017

WORLDWIDE STUDIO SCORECARD.  Here is an updated look at the 2017 film slates by studio. YEAR TO DATE BOX OFFICE. Looking at North American box office, 2017 to date is now +10% above last year and now +16% above the averag...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Holiday Movie Season: Dec 27 Update

Twelve days into the three-week holiday movie season, 2012 is now 9.0% behind the average for the same period over the last several years ($362 million this year versus $398 million on average 2004-2011).  Further, 2012 is 12....
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Behind the US/Worldwide Weekend Box Office – 2.20.2022

  OPENINGS:  UNCHARTED (Columbia/Sony) had a strong start with $44.2M ($51M with the holiday Monday), once again largely due to the M18-34 demo, but also suggesting that Tom Holland may be emerging as an action star even ...
by Mitch Salem
 
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EARLY FRIDAY BOX OFFICE: “Hobbs & Shaw” Beats Back “Scary Stories,” “Dora” & More

  On a weekend prizing quantity of newcomers over box office quality, HOBBS & SHAW (Universal) will easily retain the crown, despite a 70% Friday-to-Friday drop to $7.1M, per preliminary numbers at Deadline.  The Fast...
by Mitch Salem
 
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS August 24-26: Crappy Films Mark the Beginning of the 7-Week Box Office Drought

Weekend #34 of 2012 looks like a typically bad fourth weekend of August.  Three shitty new films open and a political documentary goes semi-wide, and each should be well under $10 million for the weekend.  The top 12 films th...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Box Office Predictions 3.4-6.2016

Weekend #10 of 2016 is looking like $146 million for the top 12 films this weekend, above the norm for this weekend (see comparisons below). NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND March 4-6, 2016 Critics Positive ($ millions) Opening Weeken...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY 8.28.2015 Box Office Report

Based on Friday’s grosses, weekend #35 of 2015 looks like $63 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, well below the norm for this weekend and reaching into record low territory (see track below). Opening at 1,135 t...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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