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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS September 16-18

> A rather sleepy weekend ahead, most likely down about 15% from the same weekend last year.  No dominant openers arrive Friday, leaving the weekend Contagion’s to lose.   Opening at more than 2,400 theater...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FULL WEEK BOX OFFICE ACTUALS & YEAR TO DATE August 22-28

> The past week (seven days ending Sunday) came in down 12% versus last year’s comparable week (the second down week in a row).  Year-to-date box office is now down 4.1% versus last year.  The Help again was the...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKDAY BOX OFFICE UPDATE JUNE 6-7: Updated

> X-Men First Class started its first weekday period with a solid 19% of opening weekend between Monday and Tuesday.  A good sign for longer term playability. The X-Men reboot earned $10.5 million Monday-Tuesday, represent...
by Mitch Salem
 
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS JUNE 17-19 — SLIGHT CORRECTION

>This weekend will feature a moderately successful comic book movie targeting teens and young adults and a mediocre opening for a family comedy aimed at kids and young parents.  Last year Toy Story 3 opened this weekend to...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 9 BOX OFFICE RESULTS

>Finally, The Help has been knocked off its perch, after facing one turd of a movie after another for four weeks.   Contagion will open at #1 with over $22 million (slightly above forecast) and headed for about $72 mi...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS Dec 30-Jan 1

>No new wide releases this weekend, the final weekend of the year as we welcome the arrival of 2012.  We are estimating a box office volume of $145 million for Friday-Sunday for the top 12 films, up 27% from $114 million l...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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ShowBuzzDaily SUMMER MOVIE DRAFT August 10 Update

>With over $3 billion of summer box office through Wednesday, only $53 million separates Teams Metcalf and Salem.  Metcalf’s slate of movies leads with $1.59 billion versus $1.54 billion for Salem’s.  Only...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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ShowBuzzDaily SUMMER MOVIE DRAFT July 18 Update

>Through Sunday, Team Metcalf is holding on to a $39 million lead over Team Salem in the ShowBuzzDaily Summer Movie Draft.  The terrific opening of Harry Potter was balanced somewhat by decent holds for Transformers 3...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS December 9-11

>Two new films open this weekend, a formulaic romantic comedy from director Garry Marshall and an R-rated comedy starring Jonah Hill that looks like it will come and go very quickly.  New Year’s Eve will be #1 this w...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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EARLY FRIDAY BOX OFFICE RESULTS: Accio Single Day Record!

>Deadline is reporting Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 is opening to an eye-popping $90-100 million Friday.  This estimate from Warner Brothers includes the incredible $43.5 from midnight showings.  This d...
by Mitch Salem
 
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ShowBuzzDaily SUMMER MOVIE DRAFT: July 11 Update

>Team Metcalf is now $102 million ahead of Team Salem in the first annual Summer Movie Draft.  The weekday business of Transformers 3 the next few days will push the margin a little higher, but the opening weekend of the f...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND STUDIO ESTIMATES August 26-28

>Based on Friday and Saturday box office (and estimated Sunday numbers), The Help continues at #1, down an impressive 29% from last weekend.  All the openers are very weak, with per theater numbers well below average. ...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FULL WEEK BOX OFFICE ACTUALS and YEAR TO DATE November 28-December 4

>The week after Thanksgiving is always a let down in movie attendance, and 2011 was even softer than the past few years.  Another week or so of limited business and then the box office will explode as Christmas turns to Ne...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS September 23-25

> This weekend is looking unusually strong for late September: the top 12 films should gross over $100 million, about 14% above a normal weekend this time of year.  The strong 3D reissue of The Lion King should remain at #...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY DECEMBER 2 BOX OFFICE RESULTS

>This weekend is looking even weaker than expected.  The top 12 films should total only $73 million, down 7% from the same weekend last year. Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 remains in the top spot, a little better tha...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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