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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS February 24-26

>The eighth weekend of the year should generate about $116 million for the top 12 films — up 21% from last year’s comparable weekend and up 25% from the four-year average for this weekend.  The big studios are ...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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The Sked: FALL RATINGS PREDICTIONS — TUESDAY Night

Tuesdays this fall look like another win for CBS.  Last fall, FOX battled CBS to a draw on Tuesdays, partly because New Girl started at a smash-hit pace, then CBS moved ahead in the spring.  But with Glee moving off the n...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Box Office Predictions 10.24-26.2014 (Updated)

[UPDATE: The predictions for the films opening this weekend have been revised, reflecting corrections to some key computations.] Weekend #43 of 2014 is looking like $100 million $109 million for the top 12 films this weekend, ...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY 10.3.2014 Box Office Report

Based on Friday’s grosses, weekend #40 of 2014 looks like $129 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, 25% above the norm for this weekend ($104 million).  A great start for the fall movie season. Opening at 3,014 th...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS April 27-29

>Weekend #17 of 2012 looks like it will be about $112 million for the top 12 films, down 23% from last year’s comparable weekend (when Fast Five exploded with an $86 million opening weekend) and down 17% from the four-yea...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS SEPTEMBER 2-4

>Summer always ends with a whimper.  While Memorial Day and Independence Day weekends are among the strongest of the box office year, Labor Day weekend is usually the lowest of the year in terms of movie-going.  This ...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY AUGUST 15 Box Office Report

Based on Friday’s grosses, weekend #33 of 2014 looks like a modest $124 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, below our forecast ($140 million) and 7% above the norm for this weekend ($116 million). Playing at 3,09...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Studio Estimates 8.28-30.215

Based on Friday’s and Saturday’s grosses, weekend #35 of 2015 now looks like $69 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, well below the norm for this weekend and reaching into record low territory (see track b...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY DECEMBER 13 Box Office Report

Based on Friday’s grosses, Weekend #50 of 2013 looks like $144 million for the top 12 films from Friday-Sunday, not as strong as we had forecast but still up double digits in terms of percent increase over comparable week...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Box Office Predictions 1.30-2.1.2015

Weekend #5 of 2015 is looking like $104 million for the top 12 films this weekend, actually well above the normal volume for this weekend ($77 million), which is hobbled by the Super Bowl and its massive television audience.  ...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Box Office Predictions JULY 26-28

The 30th weekend of the year is looking like $174 million for the top 12 films, a bit lower than last weekend ($181 million) but much better than the average for this weekend the past few years ($137 million) when summer normal...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Studio Estimates 11.21-23.2014

Based on Friday’s grosses, weekend #47 of 2014 now looks like $187 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, down from yesterday’s estimate ($194 million) and now basically even with the norm for this weekend ($18...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY AUGUST 1 Box Office Report

Based on Friday’s grosses, weekend #31 of 2014 looks like $173 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, well above our forecast ($150 million) and 34% above the norm for this weekend ($129 million). Opening at 4,080 t...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS February 1-3

The fifth weekend of 2013 should total a bad $70 million for the top 12 films, 30% below the normal pace for this weekend. Opening in about 2,900 theaters Friday, Warm Bodies from Summit should average $6,900 per theater for t...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Box Office Predictions 4.22-24.2016

Weekend #17 of 2016 forecasts for films opening wide and major returning films: NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND April 22-24, 2016 Critics Positive ($ millions) Opening Weekend Forecast Domestic Total Projection Overseas Total Projection...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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