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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS May 3-5

Posted May 1, 2013 by Mitch Metcalf

Iron Man 3 will push the 18th weekend of the year to well over $210 million for the top 12 films, fully 19% better than the average for the comparable weekends recently but still 15% below the same weekend last year, when The Avengers exploded. Opening at over 4,000 theaters Friday (a very high theater […]

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Behind the US/Worldwide Weekend Box Office – 10/25/15

Posted October 25, 2015 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  Nothing improved for the weekend’s newcomers after Friday’s dim numbers.  THE LAST WITCH HUNTER (QED/Summit/Lionsgate) led with a soft $10.8M, and whether or not Lionsgate is being entirely frank when it claims to have little exposure, someone is going to be feeling a tug on their wallet.  The results overseas, not unexpectedly, were […]

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Behind the US/Worldwide Weekend Box Office – 6/14/15

Posted June 14, 2015 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  JURASSIC WORLD (Legendary/Universal) took its place in the history books with the biggest worldwide opening of all time, its $511.8M ahead of the final Harry Potter‘s $483.2M.  That particular record relies a bit on overseas distribution scheduling, since not every American blockbuster is approved for a China opening the same weekend that it […]

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Behind the US/Worldwide Weekend Box Office – 7.22.2018

Posted July 22, 2018 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  THE EQUALIZER 2 (Escape Artists/Columbia Sony) rode a relatively stable Saturday (down 5% from Friday) to a $35.8M weekend win, up about 5% from the opening for the first Equalizer in 2014.  That film had an 8% Saturday bump, suggesting that the sequel, like most sequels, will burn out faster than the original, […]

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Weekend Box Office Predictions 5.22-24.2015

Posted May 20, 2015 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #21 of 2015 is looking like $162 million for the top 12 films this weekend, well below the norm for this weekend. Opening at around 3,800 theaters Friday (well above the 2,886 average theater count for opening weekends the last two years), Tomorrowland from Disney should average an okay $9,700 per theater for the three-day weekend (for a $37.0 million […]

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Behind the US/Worldwide Weekend Box Office – 8.20.2023

Posted August 20, 2023 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  Although BLUE BEETLE (DC/Warners) won the weekend over a tiring Barbie, it landed at the low end of expectations with $25.4M–and given the heavy 15% Friday-to-Saturday drop (much steeper than the 4%/6% drops for the Shazam movies), not to mention the Sunday West Coast weather, that studio estimate may be optimistic.  The international […]

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Weekend Box Office Predictions 3.6-8.2015

Posted March 4, 2015 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #10 of 2015 is looking like $93 million for the top 12 films this weekend, significantly below the normal volume for this weekend (see track below). Opening at around 3,000 theaters Friday (slightly above the 2,886 average theater count for opening weekends the last two years), Chappie from Sony should average $7,300 per theater for […]

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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS March 22-24 — Updated

Posted March 20, 2013 by Mitch Metcalf

Updated throughout: theater counts and critical sentiment for films opening this weekend. The 12th weekend of 2013 looks like it will be way off last year’s pace set by the opening of The Hunger Games, but the weekend will be closer to a more normal year.  The top 12 films Friday-Sunday should total $126 million, […]

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