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Weekend Box Office Predictions MAY 23-25

Posted May 21, 2014 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #21 of 2014 is looking like a very good $205 million for the top 12 films over the traditional Friday-Sunday portion of the Memorial Day weekend, 21% above the norm for this weekend (although -18% from the same weekend last year, which was fueled by sequels that opened big but couldn’t sustain).  Reminder: on […]

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Behind the US/Worldwide Weekend Box Office – 10/9/16

Posted October 9, 2016 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  THE GIRL ON THE TRAIN (DreamWorks/Reliance/Universal) didn’t have much of a Saturday bump, rising just 2% (that compares to 15% for the 2d day of Gone Girl), suggesting that word of mouth is less than stellar.  The result was a $24.7M weekend that was lower than originally anticipated, and early international results of […]

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EARLY FRIDAY BOX OFFICE: The Force Stays With “Rogue One,” “Sing” Tuneful, “Passengers” & “Assassin’s Creed” Lag Behind

Posted December 24, 2016 by Mitch Salem

  We’re now officially in the Christmas-to-New-Year’s holiday box office period, and the general form is going to follow 2015 fairly closely, with a Star Wars installment clearly in the lead (albeit much less lucratively than last year’s), a family vehicle in 2d place, and an assortment of also-rans behind them. Comparisons between ROGUE ONE […]

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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS February 1-3

Posted January 30, 2013 by Mitch Metcalf

The fifth weekend of 2013 should total a bad $70 million for the top 12 films, 30% below the normal pace for this weekend. Opening in about 2,900 theaters Friday, Warm Bodies from Summit should average $6,900 per theater for the weekend (for a $20.0 million opening weekend).  [The average wide-release film the past two years […]

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Behind the US/Worldwide Weekend Box Office – 11/22/15

Posted November 22, 2015 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  The stated $101M weekend start for THE HUNGER GAMES: MOCKINGJAY PART 2 (Lionsgate) means that we won’t really know whether it went over $100M until final numbers are released tomorrow.  But even if that number holds, it will be down 17% from last year’s Mockingjay 1.  More seriously, the international opening was $146M, […]

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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS January 13-15

Posted January 12, 2012 by Mitch Metcalf

>The second weekend of 2012 looks to be fairly anemic: $103 million for the top 12 films for the traditional three-day Friday-Sunday period.  This would be down 11% from the same weekend in 2011 and down 28% from the same weekend average for the past several years.  Basically, there is just not enough heat or […]

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EARLY FRIDAY BOX OFFICE: “Fate of the Furious” Loses Speed But Zooms Past Competition

Posted April 15, 2017 by Mitch Salem

  How big is big enough?  It’s a question that comes up on giant franchise installments, and the latest is THE FATE OF THE FURIOUS (Universal), the 8th in its series.  According to preliminary numbers at Deadline, its opening day earned $45.5M (including $10.4M from Thursday night), a huge number, but down 33% from Furious […]

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Behind the US/Worldwide Weekend Box Office – 4.16.2023

Posted April 16, 2023 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  Despite a bounty of new titles, nothing touched the holdover at the top of the weekend box office.  The newcomer with the closest claim to “success” in the US was THE POPE’S EXORCIST (Screen Gems/Sony), with $9.2M.  The horror movie also reported $27.4M in overseas release, which would put it on a road […]

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