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Weekend Box Office Predictions 10.24-26.2014 (Updated)

[UPDATE: The predictions for the films opening this weekend have been revised, reflecting corrections to some key computations.] Weekend #43 of 2014 is looking like $100 million $109 million for the top 12 films this weekend, ...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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THE SKED’s Fall TV Ratings Predictions – Monday

  The Upfronts are over, which means the real Upfronts are about to begin–that is, the networks’ advance sale of advertising time (usually about 80% of the season’s total) for the Fall 2013 TV season.  A...
by Mitch Salem
 
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS November 9-11

This weekend is looking very strong: over $150 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, up 22% from a typical second weekend in November.  James Bond’s latest adventure starring Daniel Craig is eagerly awaited by audi...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Box Office Predictions FEBRUARY 21-23

Weekend #8 of 2014 is looking like an okay $110 million for the top 12 films, 4% above the average for this weekend the past several years. Two new movies look to open very quietly, while The Lego Movie remains the only real ...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY FEBRUARY 21 Box Office Report

Based on Friday’s grosses, weekend #8 of 2014 looks like $100 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, slightly below this weekend’s average the past several years but well above last year’s weak showing th...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS March 1-3

The 9th weekend of 2013 looks like a problem: $96 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, down 37% from the same weekend last year.  One movie should open decently, while all the holdovers are wilting.  The last six weeks...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Box Office Predictions SEPTEMBER 13-15

The 37th weekend of the year is looking like $81 million for the top 12 films, very close to the multi-year average for this weekend. Opening at around 2,900 theaters Friday (just above the 2,886 average theater count for open...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Box Office Predictions JUNE 20-22

Weekend #25 of 2014 is looking like a limp $146 million for the top 12 films this weekend, 10% below the norm for this weekend and 37% below the same weekend last year, which featured two strong openers (Monsters University a...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Box Office Predictions 10.9-11.2015

Weekend #41 of 2015 is looking like $112 million for the top 12 films this weekend, very close to the norm for this weekend but below last year’s strong weekend (see comparisons below). Pan from Warner Brothers should...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Box Office Predictions 8.5-7.2016

Weekend #32 of 2016 forecasts for films opening wide and major returning films: NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND August 5-7, 2016 Critics Positive ($ millions) Opening Weekend Forecast Domestic Total Projection Overseas Total Projection ...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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Weekend Box Office Predictions APRIL 25-27

Weekend #17 of 2014 is looking like a not so hot $99 million for the top 12 films, 11% below the typical volume for this weekend the past few years ($111 million).  Opening at around 3,000 theaters Friday (somewhat above the 2...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS July 27-29: Two Weak Movies to Open as Dark Knight Rises Stays in the Top Spot

Weekend #30 of 2012 looks like $143 million for the top 12 films, the same as last year’s comparable weekend but down 16% from the four-year average for the weekend.  Two new movies will try to take on The Dark Knight Ri...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY JULY 25 Box Office Report

Based on Friday’s grosses, weekend #30 of 2014 looks like $137 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, better than our forecast earlier this week ($128 million) but still -8% below the norm for this weekend. Opening a...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY 1.23.2015 Box Office Report

Based on Friday’s grosses, weekend #4 of 2015 looks like $143 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, well above the norm for the fourth weekend of the year, which usually struggles to get above $100 million.  (See c...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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FRIDAY 9.11.2015 Box Office Report

Based on Friday’s grosses, weekend #37 of 2015 looks like $82 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, slightly above the norm for the first weekend after Labor Day (see track below). Opening at 2,221 theaters Frid...
by Mitch Metcalf
 
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